Comment 26545

By A Smith (anonymous) | Posted September 12, 2008 at 14:01:23

Scientist, the message coming from the scientific community indicates that they believe that the world has but a few short years before the climate spins out of control. There is no debating that fact.

In this respect, climate scientists ARE making short term predictions, namely that in a short period of time, bad things are definitely going to happen that will eventually destroy the planet as we know it.

However, in the real world, where most people actually live, the climate seems absolutely unremarkable.

In fact, one might even say that it has been getting cooler the last few years. Either way, the contrast between the message being delivered by scientists, and the actual observable effects, are widening every day.

You can spit out terms like "tipping point triggers", but this does not make your case any stronger. It simply adds a level of confusion, that is ultimately designed to keep normal people from questioning "expert" opinion.

As to the long term predictive success of climate models, there is none. All climate scientists have been doing the past decade is to extend an observable trend into a straight line, thus creating the impression that the world will burn up.

The problem with observing a trend and then following it to its natural conclusion, is that trends always end. If you have failed to recognize this, it doesn't say much about your formal education.

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