Comment 80982

By Fred Street (anonymous) | Posted September 18, 2012 at 16:11:02

There's certainly a shift happening, but it has yet to present itself in demographic heft. I would wager that Burlington is growing population in its core more successfully than Hamilton is.

Hamilton EcDev: "Downtown residents tend to be single people. Downtown families tend to be smaller. Average number of children per family: Downtown 0.9; City 1.2"

"Wards 1-5 lost an average of 423 residents each between 2006 and 2011.... Meanwhile, the two wards responsible for most city-wide growth between 2006 and 2011 are wards 11 (Glanbrook) and 12 (Ancaster), which grew by approximately 38% and 12%, respectively. Needless to day, nearly all that growth was single family residential sprawl on new greenfields."

"Over the past five years Hamilton has grown at a rate of 3%, falling 50,000 people short of growth plan forecasts for 2031. Between 2001 and 2006, the growth rate was only 2.9%, one of the lowest of Ontario cities and less than half of the actual provincial rate (6.6%) for that time period."

Compare this to 2006-2011 growth rates among our eastern neighbours: 6.9% for Burlington, 10.2% for Oakville, 6.7% for Halton and 56.5% for Milton. And yet by some accounts we're supposed to be the country's hottest real estate market. Go figure.

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